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- Did the UK lockdown too late ?
- Imperial College simulation code for COVID-19
- Social networks and epidemics
- Herd Immunity
- The R value
- EU Coronavirus comparisons
- 1918 Flu Pandemic
- Covid-19 model scenarios for UK
- Modelling Coronavirus
- The ACORN2 average December temperature for Australia is 25.9 C
- What is the mean temperature of Australia ?
- Differences in 2019 temperatures
- 2019 Annual Temperature
- The baseline problem
- 30 years of IPCC assessment reports – How well have they done?
- Spatial integration of global temperatures
- November global surface temperature down 0.05 C
- CRUTEM4 is cooler than GHCN-V4
- October temperatures rise 0.18C
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Author Archives: Clive Best
Sweden
Update: (27/5) If you compare Sweden with a lockdown imposed on the same date as UK (March 23) then Sweden is apparently doing much better. Everyone is watching Sweden where the chief epidemiologist Anders Tegnell has resisted lockdown. Cafes, schools … Continue reading
Did the UK lockdown too late ?
I have been running the Imperial College Covid-19 model for different scenarios. The published parameter files (on GITHUB) use an R0 value of 3.0 with an IFR of ~1%, higher than that published in February (2.4). This predicts a total … Continue reading
Imperial College simulation code for COVID-19
I finally managed to get Neil Ferguson’s COVID-19 simulation running on my iMAC (4.2 GHz Quad-Core i7 with 16MB of memory). So it is untrue that you need some parallel supercomputer to run these simulations. The trick though is to … Continue reading
Posted in Public Health
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