Author Archives: Clive Best

Road map to unlock the UK

The government’s roadmap to end lockdown is all¬† based on the modelling from Imperial College. Here we show why their report is too pessimistic and that lockdown can probably¬† be ended safely sooner. The paper states Current levels of transmissibility … Continue reading

Posted in Covid-19, Health, Public Health | Tagged | 3 Comments

The Last Lockdown

When should the last lockdown end? We can estimate when it will be safe to end all lockdown restrictions in the UK using the Imperial SIR model (report 9). Life can return to normal once the natural (unmitigated) value of … Continue reading

Posted in Covid-19, Public Health | Tagged | 14 Comments

HadCRUT5 increase in global temperatures

The HadCRUT5 data show about a 0.1C increase in annual global temperatures compared to HadCRUT4.6. There are two reasons for this. The change in sea surface temperatures moving from HadSST3 to HadSST4 The interpolation of nearby station data into previously … Continue reading

Posted in climate science | Tagged | 8 Comments