Author Archives: Clive Best

When is the next Ice Age due ?

According to Emily Shuckburgh and Prof. Erik Wolf in a letter to the Times , the next Ice Age is not expected for another 50,000 years. Their claim seems to be based on a 2016 paper in Nature by Andrey Ganopolski, … Continue reading

Posted in Climate Change, Ice Ages | Tagged | 10 Comments

A new measurement of Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS)

A dynamic analysis of global temperature data  gives a value of ECS = 2.5C ± 0.5C . Values above 3.0C or below 2.0C are ruled out. This analysis is based on two assumptions: 1) That net climate forcing follows that … Continue reading

Posted in AGW, Climate Change | Tagged , | 36 Comments

November temperature down 0.04C

My value for the November global average temperature is 0.65C, down 0.04C since October. The yearly average for 2017 ( 11 months) is now 0.73C making it equal to 2015 and 0.1C cooler than 2016. These are based on Spherical … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Comments