Author Archives: Clive Best

ONS Covid Infection Survey

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) Covid-19 infection survey is based on random testing of a representative sample of the public in England. It is updated once a week. This gives by far the clearest estimate of the overall infection … Continue reading

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Comparisons of UK Covid Deaths with Italy

The number of cases and deaths in the UK has been slowly declining and the Government will allow Pubs and Restaurants to open from tomorrow. This post looks at how the UK’s “lighter” touch lockdown compares to that applied in  … Continue reading

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Covid model implies IFR is ~0.5%

At the beginning of March Neil Fergusson modelled the impending Covid-19 epidemic for the UK  which was expected to begin in early April and consequently reach a peak in May, all based on the infection rate assumed at that time. … Continue reading

Posted in Public Health | Tagged | 10 Comments