Author Archives: Clive Best

Sweden

Update: (27/5) If you compare Sweden with a lockdown imposed on the same date as UK (March 23) then Sweden is apparently doing much better. Everyone is watching Sweden where the chief epidemiologist Anders Tegnell has resisted lockdown. Cafes, schools … Continue reading

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Did the UK lockdown too late ?

I have been running  the Imperial College Covid-19 model for different scenarios. The published  parameter files (on GITHUB) use an R0 value of 3.0 with an IFR of ~1%, higher than that published in February (2.4). This predicts a total … Continue reading

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Imperial College simulation code for COVID-19

I finally managed to get Neil Ferguson’s COVID-19 simulation running on my iMAC (4.2 GHz Quad-Core i7 with 16MB of memory). So it is untrue that you need some parallel supercomputer to run these simulations. The trick though is to … Continue reading

Posted in Public Health | 40 Comments