Category Archives: Science

Covid-19 model scenarios for UK

Social distancing slows down the spread of Covid-19 by reducing the reproduction factor . If is reduced below 1,  then the number of cases and deaths will begin to fall, but how effective is this strategy long term and how … Continue reading

Posted in Health | Tagged | 12 Comments

Modelling Coronavirus

One should always be cautious of entering a field you know nothing about! However I wanted to understand better how epidemic models work since these are now the primary driver affecting government policy during the Coronavirus emergency. The classic model … Continue reading

Posted in Health | Tagged , | 34 Comments

2019 Annual Temperature

The December 2019 temperature was up by 0.12C from November at  1.01C relative to 1961-1990. This completes the annual global average temperature for 2019 making it the second warmest year at 0.86C. This is  just 0.015C cooler than 2016. All … Continue reading

Posted in Australia, climate science, Hadley, NOAA | Tagged , | 5 Comments