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Recent Posts
- Did the UK lockdown too late ?
- Imperial College simulation code for COVID-19
- Social networks and epidemics
- Herd Immunity
- The R value
- EU Coronavirus comparisons
- 1918 Flu Pandemic
- Covid-19 model scenarios for UK
- Modelling Coronavirus
- The ACORN2 average December temperature for Australia is 25.9 C
- What is the mean temperature of Australia ?
- Differences in 2019 temperatures
- 2019 Annual Temperature
- The baseline problem
- 30 years of IPCC assessment reports – How well have they done?
- Spatial integration of global temperatures
- November global surface temperature down 0.05 C
- CRUTEM4 is cooler than GHCN-V4
- October temperatures rise 0.18C
- A comparison of HadCRUT4.6 using Icosahedral binning
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Category Archives: Science
Covid-19 model scenarios for UK
Social distancing slows down the spread of Covid-19 by reducing the reproduction factor . If is reduced below 1, then the number of cases and deaths will begin to fall, but how effective is this strategy long term and how … Continue reading
Modelling Coronavirus
One should always be cautious of entering a field you know nothing about! However I wanted to understand better how epidemic models work since these are now the primary driver affecting government policy during the Coronavirus emergency. The classic model … Continue reading
2019 Annual Temperature
The December 2019 temperature was up by 0.12C from November at 1.01C relative to 1961-1990. This completes the annual global average temperature for 2019 making it the second warmest year at 0.86C. This is just 0.015C cooler than 2016. All … Continue reading