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Tag Archives: Climate Sensitivity
The baseline problem
A baseline is simply a period of successive years whose average temperature is subtracted from a time series to produce temperature “anomalies”. One normally associates anomalies with weather station data where the baseline is then the 12 monthly seasonal averages … Continue reading
30 years of IPCC assessment reports – How well have they done?
Over the last 30 years there have been 5 IPCC assessment reports on climate change. I decided to compare each warming predictions made at the time of publication to the consequently measured temperatures. The objective is twofold. Firstly how well … Continue reading
Posted in AGW, Climate Change, climate science, CRU, Hadley, IPCC
Tagged Climate Change, Climate Sensitivity
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A new measurement of Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS)
A dynamic analysis of global temperature data gives a value of ECS = 2.5C ± 0.5C . Values above 3.0C or below 2.0C are ruled out. This analysis is based on two assumptions: 1) That net climate forcing follows that … Continue reading