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Recent Posts
- Comparisons of UK Covid Deaths with Italy
- Covid model implies IFR is ~0.5%
- What SAGE got wrong
- Report 9
- Sweden
- Did the UK lockdown too late ?
- Imperial College simulation code for COVID-19
- Social networks and epidemics
- Herd Immunity
- The R value
- EU Coronavirus comparisons
- 1918 Flu Pandemic
- Covid-19 model scenarios for UK
- Modelling Coronavirus
- The ACORN2 average December temperature for Australia is 25.9 C
- What is the mean temperature of Australia ?
- Differences in 2019 temperatures
- 2019 Annual Temperature
- The baseline problem
- 30 years of IPCC assessment reports – How well have they done?
Recent Comments
- Clive Best: it’s a circular argument – if we assume CO2 warms the earth, we find that CO2 warms the earth – Odyssey on Doubling CO2 and basic physics
- Bill Treuren on Comparisons of UK Covid Deaths with Italy
- Clive Best on Comparisons of UK Covid Deaths with Italy
- Cytokinin on Comparisons of UK Covid Deaths with Italy
- markwadsworth on The role of gravity in the greenhouse effect
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Tag Archives: COVID-19
Covid model implies IFR is ~0.5%
At the beginning of March Neil Fergusson modelled the impending Covid-19 epidemic for the UK which was expected to begin in early April and consequently reach a peak in May, all based on the infection rate assumed at that time. … Continue reading
What SAGE got wrong
On March 16 Boris Johnson held his daily COVID briefing and for the first time introducing tentative social distancing measures. That same day Neil Ferguson had formally published his simulation of how the UK epidemic would unfold and which suppression … Continue reading
Report 9
On March 16th Neil Ferguson’s team published “Report 9” which changed government policy and triggered a “lockdown” a week later. The results of his simulation showed that the number of COVID patients would soon overwhelm the ~4000 ICU bed capacity … Continue reading