Tag Archives: COVID-19

Road map to unlock the UK

Posted on February 24, 2021 by Clive Best

The government’s roadmap to end lockdown is all  based on the modelling from Imperial College. Here we show why their report is too pessimistic and that lockdown can probably  be ended safely sooner. The paper states Current levels of transmissibility … Continue reading →

Posted in Covid-19, Health, Public Health | Tagged | 3 Comments

The Last Lockdown

Posted on February 22, 2021 by Clive Best

When should the last lockdown end? We can estimate when it will be safe to end all lockdown restrictions in the UK using the Imperial SIR model (report 9). Life can return to normal once the natural (unmitigated) value of … Continue reading →

Posted in Covid-19, Public Health | Tagged | 16 Comments

Covid infection rates falling

Posted on November 30, 2020 by Clive Best

The UK weekly infection rate has been falling since the 18th November and is now about the same as that in Germany (150/100,000). Note that infection rates had mostly stabilised already by early November. The fall in rates for France … Continue reading →

Posted in Covid-19, Public Health | Tagged | 6 Comments