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Recent Posts
- Imperial’s Pessimistic Model
- Net Zero by 2050
- Road map to unlock the UK
- The Last Lockdown
- HadCRUT5 increase in global temperatures
- A first look at HadCRUT5
- 2020 global temperature equals that of 2016
- Nights warm faster than days
- Is the NHS overwhelmed?
- Covid infection rates falling
- Global Temperature falls 0.15C in October
- The SAGE Reasonable Worst Case Scenario (RWCS)
- Following the Science
- GHCNV4 September Temperature is either 0.93C or 0.70C
- Lockdown effect on UK electricity demand
- 2019/20 GB Peak Power Demand
- GHCN V4
- Global Temperature Anomaly for August was 0.82C
- EU Covid infection rates
- July global temperature anomaly unchanged from June at 0.79C
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Tag Archives: COVID-19
Road map to unlock the UK
The government’s roadmap to end lockdown is all based on the modelling from Imperial College. Here we show why their report is too pessimistic and that lockdown can probably be ended safely sooner. The paper states Current levels of transmissibility … Continue reading
The Last Lockdown
When should the last lockdown end? We can estimate when it will be safe to end all lockdown restrictions in the UK using the Imperial SIR model (report 9). Life can return to normal once the natural (unmitigated) value of … Continue reading
Covid infection rates falling
The UK weekly infection rate has been falling since the 18th November and is now about the same as that in Germany (150/100,000). Note that infection rates had mostly stabilised already by early November. The fall in rates for France … Continue reading