Category Archives: Public Health

Road map to unlock the UK

Posted on February 24, 2021 by Clive Best

The government’s roadmap to end lockdown is all  based on the modelling from Imperial College. Here we show why their report is too pessimistic and that lockdown can probably  be ended safely sooner. The paper states Current levels of transmissibility … Continue reading →

Posted in Covid-19, Health, Public Health | Tagged | 3 Comments

The Last Lockdown

Posted on February 22, 2021 by Clive Best

When should the last lockdown end? We can estimate when it will be safe to end all lockdown restrictions in the UK using the Imperial SIR model (report 9). Life can return to normal once the natural (unmitigated) value of … Continue reading →

Posted in Covid-19, Public Health | Tagged | 16 Comments

Is the NHS overwhelmed?

Posted on December 2, 2020 by Clive Best

The government’s  mantra to justify tough lockdowns has been the need to save the NHS from being overwhelmed with Covid cases. The actual number of COVID hospital cases is tracked on the government’s dashboard, and the last update was from … Continue reading →

Posted in Covid-19, Public Health | 10 Comments