EU Covid infection rates

I have been back living in Italy since the end of August. I worked here for over 20 years. There  is something special about Italy that still makes me feel at home ( the food & wine ?).  I was also quite prepared for the UK to impose a 14 day quarantine on returning to the UK at the end of September. However, since then the relative infection rates seem to have inverted and the UK is now way surpassing the infection rate of Italy.

ECDC 7 day Covid infection rates per 100,000 population

UK infection rates are now nearly double those of Italy!

I think part of the reason for this is that Italians suffered the worst death rate in Europe during the early months of 2020 because people were meeting inside. Outside in summer the risk of infection is tiny. Even Italians were spooked early into extreme social distancing ! Although apparently Berlusconi ignored government  advice during his stay in Sardinia .

Despite all this  he seems to be  recovering fine despite getting  COVID at age 83!


About Clive Best

PhD High Energy Physics Worked at CERN, Rutherford Lab, JET, JRC, OSVision
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1 Response to EU Covid infection rates

  1. says:

    Last two weeks to 14/9/20: Covid-19 death count in Italy and UK are almost the same (within 10 according to wikipedia)
    Last two weeks to 14/9/20: Covid-19 infection count in Italy is over 16,000 less than that of the UK.
    Remind me because I must have missed a meeting somewhere – how does a lowere infection count for Italy indicate anything worthy of an exclamation point here? Yes, I know you will say, give it 17 days or so for the extra infections to become extra deaths for one country compared to another. Speculate away if you like.

    Getting to the break point with the least harm to the vulnerable is a desirable outcome with this virus. There is available data on cases in the UK (that’s people presenting to hospital with symptoms because there aren’t other metrics), presumably the same in Italy – and the press and yourself are overlooking the data on this, just quoting the infection data, not bothered about the case data and getting things the wrong way around if controlled for a certain level of harm.

    In a perfect world, we want lots of infections and low hospital admissions and deaths.

    We’re heading for disaster based on this combination of Morgan/Bowman insanity that doesn’t get this.

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